Regarding additional regeneration dynamics, transition
and mortality: The number of dead trees in the Hang Kia - Pa Co
area was 222, with an average of 20 dead trees per year in the entire
study area (about 7 trees/ha/year). The corresponding death rate is
about 9.7%. In Xuan Son National Park, the number of dead trees is
only 90 trees, averaging 2.7 trees/ha/year. The corresponding
mortality rate is about 7.5%.
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.1. Study on forest regeneration dynamics
Studies on forest regeneration dynamics in Vietnam have been
condcuted for a long time. The authors have focused on the
regeneration dynamics on forest land after shifting cultivation and
regeneration under the canopy of natural forests, effects of factors on
regeneration process, etc. In general, studies on forest regeneration
dynamics in Vietnam have not been carried out much. There are very
few studies on the positioning PLs; therefore, it is necessary to
continue additional studies on regeneration dynamics issues on the
positioning PLs for understanding this process with different specific
subjects.
1.2.2. Study on growth dynamics
The foundation of dynamics studies are studies of basic
silvicultural principles in forest ecosystems. Prior to 1990, the authors
focused on forest growth issues with the widely used method of tree
analysis. After 1990, the authors focused on tree growth dynamics.
There have been studies that simulate the laws of structure and
dynamics during this period. Recently, dynamics studies have been
conducted on permanent plots (PL), but still few. Therefore, it is
important to carry out to studies on the process of forest dynamics on
the positioning PLs.
1.2.3. Study on dynamics succession
Studies on forest succession dynamics are often conducted in a
long time and are time and effort consuming. In the absence of long-
term monitoring, it is possible to use the method of reseaching space
instead of through time, studying on forest ecosystems with many
similarities, and recovering after many different stages. This issue
needs to be studied in a long term on the positioning PLs for the most
accurate information about those processes.
1.3. Discussion and identification of study questions
After the general study, the questions are posed are: according
to which law does the evergreen broadleaf natural forest dynamics
occur? Does a relationship exist between the dynamics and structural
factors of the forest? Can math functions be used to simulate those
processes? What equations can represent those relationships? To test
these hypotheses, the thesis focuses on the following issues:
- Study on forest structure characteristics at the beginning of
PLs establishment at Xuan Son National Park and Hang Kia - Pa Co
Nature Reserve.
- Study on structural dynamics in order to notice a change of
composition over time of dominant species in the forest.
- Study on structural dynamics N/D1.3 in order to determine
the changing trend of this structural factor in the future.
- Study on additional regeneration dynamics, transition and
death process for an overview of the structural dynamics of the
forest.
- Proposal of some solutions for forest management based on
the study results of the thesis.
CHAPTER 2. SUBJECT, SCOPE, CONTENT LIMITATION
AND STUDY METHOD
2.1. The subject, scope and limitation of the study
2.1.1. The subject of the study
From the point of phylogenetic vegetation, the study subjetc of
the thesis is evergreen broadleaf natural forest in Hang Kia - Pa Co
Nature Reserve, Hoa Binh Province and in Xuan Son National Park,
Phu Tho province.
2.1.2. Scope and limitation of the study
- Limitation of study subject: to only focus on study on
structural dynamics of the canopy layer (including layers A1, A2,
and A3) of the stand. For additional regenerated trees, only the
number of regenerated trees added to the tall tree layer is concerned.
- Content limitation: study on structural characteristics,
structural dynamics, additional regeneration, and transition and death
process of the canopy canopy.
- Limit on study time: from 2007 to 2018.
2.2. Study content
2.2.1. Study on forest structure characteristics and species diversity
2.2.2. Study on dynamics of the canopy layer structure
(Composition, N/D1.3)
2.2.3. Study on additional regeneration dynamics, transformation
and death process of the canopy layer
2.2.4. Proposal of application of study results
2.2.5. Proposal of some solutions for forest management
2.3. Study methods
2.3.1. Method of data collection
Establishing permanent plots with a size of 100x100m.
Measuring diameter at breast height (D1,3): All trees have D1.3> 10cm
in the PL. Measuring the peak height (Hvn) of the trees with D1.3>
10cm in the plot. In the second measurement (in 2018), statistic and
measurement of regenerated trees were further done to the tall tree
layer of dead trees in reality.
2.3.2. Information processing methods and tools used
All data collected from the permanent plots are collected,
adjusted, analyzed, processed and calculated by Excel and SPSS
softwares with necessary criteria for the study content. Testing of
specific types of mathematical functions is performed to find suitable
types of functions that simulate the dynamic process. MM&S
software is used to simulate the process of dynamics.
CHAPTER 3. CHARACTERISTICS OF THE STUDY AREA.
3.1. Characteristics of natural conditions
3.1.1. Geographical location
3.1.1.1. Hang Kia - Pa Co Nature Reserve
Located in the north of Mai Chau District, west of Hoa Binh
Province, within the administrative boundaries of 6 communes: Hang
Kia, Pa Co, Tan Son, Bao La, Cun Pheo, and Pieng Ve with the total
area of 7,091 ha, including 2 subdivisions:
- Strictly protected subdivision: 2,680 ha.
- Ecological rehabilitation subdivision: 4,411 ha.
3.1.1.2. Xuan Son National Park
Xuan Son National Park is located to the west of Tan Son
District, on the triangular boundary between three provinces Phu
Tho, Hoa Binh and Son La. The total natural area is 15,048 ha; of
which agricultural production land is 312.4 ha; 14,617.5 ha of forest
land; and 118.1 ha of non-agricultural land.
3.1.2. Topography and terrain
3.1.3. Geology and pedology
3.1.4. Climatic and hydrological conditions
3.2. The flora.
3.3. General remarks on the natural conditions of the study area.
Shortcomings:
- In Hang Kia - Pa Co Nature Reserve: the risk of illegal
logging and transportation of forest products tends to increase; and
the demand for timber logging for domestic purposes such as house
construction and firewood is also increasing, posing great challenges
to management and protection of the Nature Reserve's natural
resources.
- In Xuan Son National Park: within the scope of the park,
there are 2 subjects managing the same area of land, making the
management of land use complicated and difficult. In addition, some
locations in functional subdivisions are not properly managed.
CHAPTER 4. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
4.1. Forest structure characteristics in the study area
4.1.1. Forest composition, structure and diversity
4.1.1.1. Forest composition and structure
a, Canopy layer (timber)
The research results show that the forest composition in the
study area is fundamentally different. The difference is shown in
dominant species and number of species in the community. An
overview of the structural characteristics of each cell is shown as
follows:
Table 0.1. Botanical composition in the study area
Plot Area
Num.
of
species
Density
(tree/ha)
HL Botanical composition
1 HB01 67 608 1/9
17,3 Castanopsis indica + 9,6
Garcinia fagraeoides + 6,8
Hopea chinensis + 5,8 Diospyros
sylvatica, + 5,6 Manglietia dandyi
+ 54,9 others
2 HB03 56 571 1/10
21,8 Lithocarpus dealbatus + 16,3
Castanopsis indica + 11,6 Trema
orientalis + 7,8 Lithocarpus
ducampii + 42,4 others
3 HB06 70 466 1/7
24,8 Diospyros sylvatica + 10,0
Lithocarpus dealbatus + 8,2
Garcinia fagraeoides + 7,3 Vatica
odorata ssp + 5,6 Lithocarpus
ducampii + 44,1 others
4 XS01 71 344 1/5
20,8 Saraca dives + 6,8 Aglaia
lawii + 5,9 Pometia pinnata + 5,8
Barringtonia acutangula + 60,7
others
5 XS02 86 352 1/4
9,2 Saraca dives + 6,9 Bhesa
robusta + 6,5 Barringtonia
acutangula + 77,4 others
6 XS03 106 487 1/5
6,6 Nephelium cuspidatum + 5,7
Aglaia argentea + 5,2 Wrightia
tomentosa + 82,5 others
- In Xuan Son National Park, tree species composition is more
diverse and plentiful in the Hang Kia - Pa Co area. The number of
species in the PL varied from 71 to 106 species corresponding to the
density from 344 to 487 plants/ha. In the area of Hang Kia - Pa Co,
the number of species varied from 56 (HB03) to 70 species (HB06),
density varied from 466 to 608 trees/ha.
- In the area of Hang Kia - Pa Co, the dominance is more
pronounced than that of Xuan Son, reflected through the large
formation coefficient, the total composition coefficient of the
dominant species is high. In the Xuan Son area, most of the plant
species in the PLs do not show their dominance.
- In terms of composition, there is also a difference between
the two areas due to the difference in geography and flora.
b, Shrub and vegetation layer
There are also significant differences in the characteristics of
the shrub and vegetation layer in the two areas. The shrub layer at
Hang Kia - Pa Co is from 1.2 to 2.0 m high. Coverage from 20 -
30%. Xuan Son area has a remarkable difference. The shrub layer
has an average height of 0.5 - 1.2m, coverage from 10-20%. In
general, the shrub and vegetation layer in Hang Kia - Pa Co area is
taller and denser than Xuan Son due to the higher degree of light fall
under the forest canopy at Hang Kia - Pa Co.
Thus, at the two study sites there is a fundamental difference in the
species composition and dominance level. For a more comprehensive
view, there is a need for in-depth research on plant diversity in the
study area.
4.1.1.2. Species diversity in the study area
Questioning: is the 1 ha area of each PL sufficiently
representative of the study area? Test results for the PLs based on the
minimum representative area method proposed by MÜLLER-
DOMBOIS and ELLENBERG, (1974) [85], are presented as
follows:
Figure 0.1: Changes of the
species in Hang Kia - Pa Co
when the area of the PL changed
Figure 0.2: Changes of the
species in Xuan Son when
the PL area changes
Through the statistics of the number of new species appearing
when the PL area increases, we can see that: When increasing the PL
area from 7,600m2 to 8,400m2 (an increase of 800m2 is equivalent
to> 10% of the area of the PL), the number of species exported the
new level in each PL is below 10%. Thus, it can be seen that only the
area of each PL reaching 8,400m2 is enough to represent the research
object.
Results of the calculation of species diversity indicators are as
follows:
Table 0.2. Botanical diversity in the study area
Ordinal Location
Num. of
species
Density
(trees/ha)
HL H D
1 HB01 67 608 1/9 3.31126 0.92541
2 HB03 56 571 1/10 2.68794 0.86451
0
50
100
150
0
,0
4
0
,1
6
0
,2
8
0
,4
0
,5
2
0
,6
4
0
,7
6
0
,8
8 1
N
u
m
. o
f
sp
ec
ie
s.
Area (ha)
XS01
XS02
XS03
0
20
40
60
80
0
,0
4
0
,1
6
0
,2
8
0
,4
0
,5
2
0
,6
4
0
,7
6
0
,8
8 1
N
u
m
. o
f
sp
ec
ie
s
Area (ha)
HB06
HB03
HB01
3 HB06 70 466 1/7 2.93660 0.88831
4 XS01 71 344 1/5 3.38190 0.92425
5 XS02 86 352 1/4 3.84813 0.96488
6 XS03 106 487 1/5 4.13520 0.97539
Comment: In general, Xuan Son area has a higher number of
species and diversity than that of Hang Kia - Pa Co. The level of
variation in diversity in the two regions is markedly different. The
area of Hang Kia - Pa Co has a greater degree of variation, reflected
in the indicators H and D, with a large difference..
A composite index that is the Renyi index (H). Index
calculation H for the PL we obtained the results shown in Figure
4.3:
Figure 0.3: Rényi diversity index chart of the PLs
On the graph, the higher the curve is, the higher the diversity
is. The steeper the curve, the lower the uniformity of the number of
individuals in the PL species.
4.1.2. Distribution of plants according to diameter classes (N/D1.3)
The distribution of the number of plants by diameter
classifiication in the study area has the following characteristics: The
0
2
4
6
0 0,25 0,5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 vc
Rényi
HB01
HB03
HB06
XS01
XS02
XS03
distribution curve of the plants by diameter classifiication has a
decreasing shape. The largest number of trees gather at the first
diameter category and the second diameter category, then decrease
gradually. Compare between 2 structures N/D1.3 in the two study
areas, it was found that: in the study area more or less there was
human influence to change the inherent natural structure of the
forest. The mean diameter in Xuan Son National Park is much larger
than that of Hang Kia - Pa Co conservation area.
4.1.3. Distribution of plants according to height level (N/Hvn)
Experimental results using 3 mathematical functions: Meyer,
Weibull and Distance to describe the distribution of plants by height
level in the study area shows: there is no function suitable to describe
the distribution N/Hvn in the area of Hang Kia - Pa Co. In Xuan Son
area, Weilbul function can be used to simulate the N/Hvn
distribution.
Reality shows that, in the PL in state IIIB and state IV, the
secondary layer is divided into 3 distinct layers. In the PL of state
IIIA, the forest layers form a continuous block, not clearly
distinguish between layers A1, A2, A3. In Xuan Son National Park,
the difference between the tree layer in the canopy layer and the
upper canopy layer, the lower canopy layer is smaller than that in the
Hang Kia - Pa Co area. Basically, state IIIB, IV forest protection still
retains the inherent secondary strata structure.
4.2. Forest structure dynamics
4.2.1. Forest composition and structure dynamics
Analysis of changes in forest dynamics in 11 years on the PLs
of the study area has obtained the results:
Table 0.8: Transformation of the composition in the study area
Plot
2007 2018
HL Botanical composition HL Botanical composition
HB01 1/9
17,3 Castanopsis indica +
9,6 Garcinia fagraeoides
+ 6,8 Hopea chinensis +
5,8 Diospyros sylvatica, +
5,6 Manglietia dandyi +
54,9 others
1/8
17,6 Castanopsis indica +
9,5 Garcinia fagraeoides +
6,2 Diospyros sylvatica +
6,2 Hopea chinensis + 5,5
Garcinia oblongifolia +
55,0 others
HB03 1/10
21,8 Lithocarpus
dealbatus + 16,3
Castanopsis indica + 11,6
Trema orientalis + 7,8
Lithocarpus ducampii +
42,4 others
1/11
20,1 Lithocarpus dealbatus
+ 16,3 Castanopsis indica +
10,1 Trema orientalis + 7,0
Lithocarpus ducampii +
46,6 others
HB06 1/7
24,8 Diospyros sylvatica
+ 10,0 Lithocarpus
dealbatus + 8,2 Garcinia
fagraeoides + 7,3 Vatica
odorata ssp + 5,6
Lithocarpus ducampii +
44,1 others
1/6
24,3 Diospyros sylvatica +
8,0 Lithocarpus dealbatus +
7,8 Garcinia fagraeoides +
6,9 Vatica odorata ssp + 53
others
XS01 1/5
20,8 Saraca dives + 6,8
Aglaia lawii + 5,9
Pometia pinnata + 5,8
Barringtonia acutangula
+ 60,7 others
1/5
21,5 Saraca dives + 6,7
Aglaia lawii + 5,8
Barringtonia acutangula +
5,6 Pometia pinnata + 60,4
others
XS02 1/4
9,2 Saraca dives + 6,9
Bhesa robusta + 6,5
Barringtonia acutangula
+ 77,4 others
1/4
8,9 Saraca dives + 6,7
Bhesa robusta + 6,7
Barringtonia acutangula +
77,7 others
XS03 1/5
6,6 Nephelium
cuspidatum + 5,7 Aglaia
argentea + 5,2 Wrightia
tomentosa + 82,5 others
1/5
6,0 Nephelium cuspidatum
+ 5,7 Wrightia tomentosa +
5,2 Aglaia argentea + 78,7
others
Thus, the forest protection planning in Xuan Son National
Park has little variation in species composition. In contrast, in the
area of Hang Kia - Pa Co, forest protection areas have variation in
species composition and other characteristics. In general, there is
almost no change in dominant species between 2 times in the PL.
There is a tendency to gradually decrease the dominance of
ecologically dominant species (the grouping coefficient decreases),
there is an increase in dominance of other species not present in the
formation.
4.2.2. Structure dynamics N/D1.3
Structure dynamics N/D1.3 of the study area have similarities.
Trends in structural changes N/D1.3 are in two directions: the number
of trees in the first diameter class decreases sharply, the number of
trees in the first diameter class increases gradually. The process of
structural transformation N/D1.3 also leads to the changes of other
factors such as total cross section, average diameter, and status of the
forest stand
4.3. Additional regeneration, level change and death process in
forest stand
4.3.1. Characteristics of additional regeneration, transition and
death processes in the forest stand
The dynamics of two areas, Xuan Son National Park and Hang
Kia - Pa Co conservation area are fundamentally different. In Xuan
Son National Park, the forest protection zones are in a relatively
stable phase, the dynamic indicators have small changes, the density
of stands is relatively low, the trees have large diameter on average.
In contrast, in Hang Kia - Pa Co conservation area, the forest is in a
period of strong development, there is a big change in forest
structural factors. There is a greater variation in forest dynamics.
4.3.2. Simulate dynamics processes in the stand.
4.3.2.1. Simulate additional regeneration
In the framework of this thesis, we have tested to explore the
relationship between the number of additional regenerated trees and
the density, the relationship between the number of additional
regenerated trees and the total cross section in the study area. The
trial results in the area of Hang Kia - Pa Co and Xuan Son National
Park show that: there is no suitable function to simulate the
relationship between the number of additional regenerated trees and
the density and total cross section of the stand. To estimate the
number of additional regenerated trees, we can estimate from the
relative ratio of the number of replenished trees to the stand density.
4.3.2.2. Simulate the transition process
In Hang Kia Pa Co area, there are 2 different forest states
(state IIIA3 and IV), so this process simulation is calculated for each
state.
Functional test results can best simulate the relationship
between the number of transgenic trees and the diameter we get the
results:
Ok = -0,318 + 0,599 * Nk - 0,002* Nk2 + 4,971*10-6* Nk3 (4-2)
With state IV, the quadratic function is selected to express the
relationship between (Ok-Nk) by the equation:
Ok = -0,374 + 0,388 * Nk -0,00046* Nk2 (4-3)
Thus, in the area of Hang Kia - Pa Co, the number of
transgenic trees depends closely on the number of trees at each
diameter size in both state IIIA and state IV.
The equation for simulating the relationship between the
number of transgenic trees and the diameter classification at Xuan
Son is as follows:
Ok = 95,739 – 3,915* Dk + 0,054* Dk2 – 0,00025* Dk3 (4-5)
In addition, this study also simulates the relationship between
the transition ratio and the diameter class. However, the research
results show that this relationship exists, but the correlation
coefficient R2 <0.4, so do not simulate this relationship (App. 5.3).
4.3.2.3. Simulate the process of death in the stand
The test results showed that no relationship between the
number of dead trees, the mortality rate and the density and cross
section of the stand was found. The experiment studies the
relationship between the number of dead trees and the diameter class
(Mk-Dk) for the IIIA3 state, the results: the equation used to simulate
the relationship between the number of dead trees at each diameter
level shows that 1 class linear function is chosen for simulation with
the following equation:
Mk = 0,236 + 0,126 * Nk (4-7)
For state IV:
Mk = -0,905 + 0,182 * Nk (4-8)
Similar test results for Xuan Son area show that there exists a
relationship between Mk – Dk: The inverse function is best suited to
describe the relationship between the number of dead trees in
diameter classes:
Mk = -2,279 + 153,338/Dk (4-11)
4.4. Recommended research result application
4.4.1. Forest structure simulation by using MM&S software.
Data collected in 2007 - 2018 on PL HB06 in Hang Kia - Pa Co
Nature Reserve (NR) is used for modeling and simulation. In order to
conduct forest structure dynamics simulation, we first need to
identify the elements of the system. Using the correlation equation
between the factors found in the previous section, as Fig. 4.28.
Additional regeneration process: R = 0,135*N0 (4-12)
Number of trees transferred at each diameter class (Ok - Nk):
Ok = -0,374 + 0,388 * Nk -0,00046* Nk2
Number of dead trees at each diameter level simulated by function:
Mk = -0,905 + 0,182 * Nk
Figure 0.1: Diagram simulating forest structure dynamics
After having these equations, we proceed to load the elements
of the model into the simulation diagram.
After completing the simulation diagram, we can export the
model to a text file.
The results of the model run reflect the dynamics of the
system, which can be seen the changing trend of the elements over
time, thereby giving an overview of the system dynamics. Research
data is collected over 11-year period, time step is 1 corresponding to
the change of forest in 11 years.
For more details of these fluctuation process, we draw graphs
to see those cycles in general.
In short, with the use of MM&S software, we can quickly run
the model and see how the factor levels change over time (here is the
variation of each diameter class over time. time). However, to see the
overall variation in levels of each factor over time (the variation of
all diameter classes over time) we need to save the spreadsheet as a
text file or a file. excel. On that basis, it is possible to draw the chart
of changes of all factor levels in each period. On the other hand,
when using MM&S software, it is required to have a basic
understanding of the system, about the system variables as well as
the manipulation of this software. In order to simplify the simulation
of structural dynamics, we can use manual calculation method by
using allometric equations between investigating factors which have
been detected with the help of Microsoft Excel, details as below.
4.4.2. Using the identified equations to simulate the structural
dynamics of the stand.
The tree death rate model is built on the basis of observed data
from the positioning plot in a certain technique and simulated by the
general function of: M=f(G,N)
The additional regeneration model is simulated with the general
function is R=f(G,N).
The diameter transformation and structural change of the
forest were calculated using the formula (2-11):
Nk,t+1 = Nk,t + Rk – Ok – Mk
The test calculates the dynamic processes for state IV in Hang
Kia - Pa Co. The equations used for the calculation are as follows:
- Additional regeneration process: 13,5%*N0 (state IV).
- The number of transgenic trees is determined by the formula:
Ok = -0,374 + 0,388 * Nk -0,00046* Nk2
- The number of dead trees is determined by the formula:
Mk = -0,905 + 0,182 * Nk
The forest dynamics simulation model performed on Excel
spreadsheet for state IV in Hang Kia - Pa Co area has the structure as
shown in Table 4.23.
Table 0.3: Predict the structure of the state IV stand in the future in Hang Kia - Pa Co
A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q
1 D1.3 (cm)
2 From 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 Sum
3 To 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80
4 D1.3(Avr) 12,5 17,5 22,5 27,5 32,5 37,5 42,5 47,5 52,5 57,5 62,5 67,5 72,5 77,5
5 Ok 44 28 22 20 10 6 9 6 2 2 4 1 2 2
6 Mk 24 14 10 9 4 2 3 2 0 0 1 0 0 0
7 N (trees/ha)
8 2018 135 82 62 56 27 16 24 17 6 6 11 4 5 6 457
9 2029 129 83 58 49 33 18 18 17 10 6 8 7 5 7 448
10 2040 125 82 57 44 33 21 15 15 12 7 7 7 6 8 440
11 G (m2/ha)
12 2018 1,66 1,97 2,46 3,32 2,24 1,77 3,40 3,01 1,30 1,56 3,37 1,43 2,06 2,83 32,39
13 2029 1,59 2,00 2,31 2,89 2,75 1,99 2,49 3,08 2,16 1,51 2,45 2,45 1,90 3,47 33,04
14 2040 1,53 1,98 2,25 2,61 2,78 2,34 2,19 2,69 2,56 1,88 2,03 2,48 2,28 3,93 33,53
4.5. Solution proposal for forest management
4.5.1. Recommended patterns
The thesis has selected three orientations for N/D1.3 for the
research stands corresponding to each state. Criteria to choose,
propose orientation patterns include:
1. The species composition is diverse, including dominant
indigenous tree species.
2. Total cross-section and reserves is high.
3. There is N/D distribution according to the reduced
distribu
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